NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU WVU
Points 65.6 75.2
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 25.6 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 26.3
Points From Free Throws 11.0 17.1
Shooting BU WVU
Field Goals Made 22.5 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 51.4
Field Goal % 38.6% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 12.8 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 11.0 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 24.3
Free Throw % 72.2% 70.4%
Ball Control BU WVU
Rebounds 32.9 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 6.9
Turnovers 10.4 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.3
Steals 6.5 4.5
Fouls 18.2 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU WVU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 65.8
% of Possessions with BU WVU
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 36.5% 27.5%
Player Fouled 18.1% 26.4%
Turnover 15.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU WVU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 22.5%