NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF FUR
Points 73.3 78.1
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 26.2
Points From Free Throws 13.9 12.5
Shooting WOF FUR
Field Goals Made 25.6 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 57.2
Field Goal % 41.8% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 60.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 13.9 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 18.6
Free Throw % 73.4% 67.4%
Ball Control WOF FUR
Rebounds 33.4 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.1
Turnovers 7.6 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.4
Steals 5.9 3.9
Fouls 15.4 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF FUR
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 68.2
% of Possessions with WOF FUR
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 30.8%
Player Fouled 19.1% 22.0%
Turnover 11.0% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF FUR
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 28.4%