NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH
Points 63.9 68.9
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 26.9 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 18.4
Points From Free Throws 12.7 13.2
Shooting SH
Field Goals Made 21.5 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 55.6
Field Goal % 38.1% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 37.3% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 14.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 43.7%
Free Throws Made 12.7 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 18.8
Free Throw % 68.9% 70.0%
Ball Control SH
Rebounds 38.7 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 7.9
Turnovers 14.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.7
Steals 6.1 7.4
Fouls 13.8 14.9

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 66.5
% of Possessions with SH
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 52.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 17.5%
Player Fouled 21.3% 19.7%
Turnover 20.4% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH
Shot Blocked 8.7% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 23.4%