NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU COLG
Points 59.1 67.6
Total Points   126.7
Points From 2-Pointers 27.5 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 23.0
Points From Free Throws 9.7 11.7
Shooting BU COLG
Field Goals Made 21.0 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 52.8
Field Goal % 37.0% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 9.7 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 17.5
Free Throw % 72.2% 66.6%
Ball Control BU COLG
Rebounds 34.1 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 6.4
Turnovers 9.8 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.1
Steals 5.5 5.9
Fouls 13.9 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU COLG
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 63.2
% of Possessions with BU COLG
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 17.0% 20.9%
Turnover 14.8% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU COLG
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 20.1%