NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR
Points 56.3 71.8
Total Points   128.1
Points From 2-Pointers 25.2 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 21.0
Points From Free Throws 14.8 14.5
Shooting FOR
Field Goals Made 18.0 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.0 58.4
Field Goal % 35.4% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 34.4% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 14.8 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 21.6
Free Throw % 68.9% 67.2%
Ball Control FOR
Rebounds 32.8 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 13.1
Turnovers 14.9 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.4
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 15.2 17.1

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 72.0
% of Possessions with FOR
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 21.3%
Player Fouled 24.5% 21.7%
Turnover 21.3% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR
Shot Blocked 9.5% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 35.5%