NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG
Points 58.1 61.3
Total Points   119.4
Points From 2-Pointers 27.9 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 17.7
Points From Free Throws 10.6 10.5
Shooting WAG
Field Goals Made 20.5 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 57.0
Field Goal % 37.6% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.3% 39.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 10.6 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 15.1
Free Throw % 68.9% 69.5%
Ball Control WAG
Rebounds 37.0 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.2
Turnovers 10.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.5
Steals 4.3 5.0
Fouls 12.0 13.7

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG
Total Possessions 64.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 66.0
% of Possessions with WAG
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 54.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 20.1%
Player Fouled 21.1% 18.5%
Turnover 16.8% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 27.9%