NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU
Points 65.7 62.4
Total Points   128.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 13.0
Points From Free Throws 15.6 12.5
Shooting LIU
Field Goals Made 22.1 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 56.2
Field Goal % 38.6% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 44.4
2 Point Shooting % 40.9% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 4.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 11.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 15.6 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 18.7
Free Throw % 68.9% 66.9%
Ball Control LIU
Rebounds 39.9 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.6
Turnovers 11.5 12.7
Blocked Shots 5.7 3.1
Steals 7.5 5.7
Fouls 13.8 16.6

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 67.0
% of Possessions with LIU
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 54.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 14.4%
Player Fouled 23.4% 19.4%
Turnover 16.2% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 23.7%