NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF UNCG
Points 70.6 76.0
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.3 27.9
Points From 3-Pointers 32.1 35.8
Points From Free Throws 11.2 12.4
Shooting WOF UNCG
Field Goals Made 24.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 58.3
Field Goal % 43.7% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 26.5 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 41.1%
Free Throws Made 11.2 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 17.0
Free Throw % 61.9% 72.8%
Ball Control WOF UNCG
Rebounds 36.1 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.4
Turnovers 10.9 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.3
Steals 3.6 6.5
Fouls 14.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: NC-Grnsboro

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF UNCG
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 68.9
% of Possessions with WOF UNCG
2 Point Attempt 33.4% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 36.9% 37.3%
Player Fouled 22.2% 21.7%
Turnover 16.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF UNCG
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 26.8%