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Tarleton St at Baylor
Tue Dec 6, 2022
8:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Tarleton St at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 16.5, Total Points: 141.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TST | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-12-0 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-8-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 12-6-0 | 10-7-1 |
Tarleton St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Virginia | +17.0 | L by 30 | -13.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Florida Intl | +4.5 | W by 17 | +21.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | North Texas-Dallas | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/14 | Away | Bradley | +10.0 | L by 23 | -13.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Austin Peay | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | CS Bakersfld | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Ste F Austin | +9.5 | W by 2 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | TX-Pan Am | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Hardin-Simmons | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 12/12 | Home | Sterling | -- | W by 38 | -- |
| 12/18 | Home | Jksnville St | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Tennessee | +22.5 | L by 19 | +3.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Loyola Mymt | +7.0 | W by 13 | +20.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | TX-Arlington | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Cal Baptist | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Grd Canyon | +13.0 | L by 26 | -13.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Abl Christian | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX-Pan Am | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | S Utah | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Utah Tech | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Abl Christian | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Ste F Austin | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Utah Valley | +3.5 | W by 11 | +14.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Seattle | +8.0 | W by 5 | +13.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | TX-Arlington | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Grd Canyon | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Cal Baptist | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Utah Tech | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Utah | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Utah Valley | -7.0 | L by 3 | -10.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Seattle | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | TX-Arlington | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | TX Southern | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Abl Christian | -6.5 | W by 27 | +20.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | IPFW | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -16.5 | Open | -19.0 | High | -19.0 |
| Last | -18.5 | Low | -16.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 879 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 830 times (94.4%).
- The team like Tarleton State won the game 49 times (5.6%).
- The team like Tarleton State did better against the spread, going 457-412-10 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 494 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 256-234-4 (52.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -16.5 | -18.0 | -- |
| Open | -18.0 | -17.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/06 08:04 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 12/06 07:58 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:35 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:28 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:13 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:31 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:37 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:35 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:14 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 12/06 12:04 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 12/06 12:01 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:52 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:31 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 09:43 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 09:02 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 08:13 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:46 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:58 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:14 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 12/05 10:55 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:54 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 12/05 09:40 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:46 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:44 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 12/05 07:40 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 06:55 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 05:10 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
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