NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TST LAM
Points 76.8 69.6
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 18.8
Points From Free Throws 15.7 12.9
Shooting TST LAM
Field Goals Made 26.9 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 59.9
Field Goal % 44.8% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 15.7 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 17.8
Free Throw % 75.8% 72.1%
Ball Control TST LAM
Rebounds 36.6 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 12.5
Turnovers 10.1 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.1
Steals 7.5 4.9
Fouls 15.1 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Tarleton St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TST LAM
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 71.6
% of Possessions with TST LAM
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 23.1%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.2%
Turnover 14.2% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TST LAM
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 33.7%