NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TST WICH
Points 72.9 72.6
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 16.9
Points From Free Throws 12.3 11.5
Shooting TST WICH
Field Goals Made 27.0 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 59.9
Field Goal % 42.3% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 12.3 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 16.5
Free Throw % 75.8% 69.7%
Ball Control TST WICH
Rebounds 34.3 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 11.4
Turnovers 8.4 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.8
Steals 8.5 4.9
Fouls 13.0 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Wichita St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TST WICH
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 70.3
% of Possessions with TST WICH
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 20.6%
Player Fouled 18.1% 18.3%
Turnover 11.9% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 12.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TST WICH
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 32.9%