NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TST SUU
Points 79.9 72.2
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 50.7 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 18.2
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.4
Shooting TST SUU
Field Goals Made 30.6 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 58.5
Field Goal % 48.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.3 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.8 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.2
Free Throw % 75.8% 71.3%
Ball Control TST SUU
Rebounds 36.6 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.4
Turnovers 9.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.8
Steals 7.6 4.6
Fouls 16.5 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TST SUU
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 70.9
% of Possessions with TST SUU
2 Point Attempt 56.5% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 24.7%
Player Fouled 19.9% 22.8%
Turnover 12.6% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TST SUU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 29.0%