NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TST WEB
Points 75.1 71.7
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 44.8 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 21.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 13.3
Shooting TST WEB
Field Goals Made 28.3 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 54.5
Field Goal % 50.6% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 22.4 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 12.6 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 18.1
Free Throw % 75.8% 73.7%
Ball Control TST WEB
Rebounds 31.5 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.9
Turnovers 9.8 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.5
Steals 6.4 5.0
Fouls 15.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Tarleton St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TST WEB
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 65.5
% of Possessions with TST WEB
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 28.0%
Player Fouled 20.7% 22.6%
Turnover 14.3% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken TST WEB
Shot Blocked 2.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 25.1%