NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU UCLA
Points 63.2 74.7
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 45.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 14.0
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.3
Shooting SUU UCLA
Field Goals Made 21.0 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 58.2
Field Goal % 38.5% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 44.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 20.6
Free Throw % 71.3% 74.3%
Ball Control SUU UCLA
Rebounds 31.0 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.7
Turnovers 10.8 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.8
Steals 4.3 5.6
Fouls 16.8 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU UCLA
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 71.4
% of Possessions with SUU UCLA
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 54.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 16.6%
Player Fouled 26.1% 24.4%
Turnover 15.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU UCLA
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 34.4%