NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU EWU
Points 74.8 83.8
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 20.9
Points From Free Throws 16.8 16.3
Shooting SUU EWU
Field Goals Made 25.2 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 56.5
Field Goal % 42.1% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 61.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 16.8 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 21.0
Free Throw % 71.3% 77.5%
Ball Control SUU EWU
Rebounds 31.0 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.2
Turnovers 9.8 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.2
Steals 6.2 4.9
Fouls 18.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU EWU
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 69.6
% of Possessions with SUU EWU
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 22.8%
Player Fouled 24.7% 24.7%
Turnover 13.2% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU EWU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 28.2%