NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU LMU
Points 72.5 77.3
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.5 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 19.4
Points From Free Throws 13.7 11.5
Shooting SUU LMU
Field Goals Made 26.5 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 61.8
Field Goal % 44.2% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 43.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 13.7 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 15.6
Free Throw % 71.3% 73.7%
Ball Control SUU LMU
Rebounds 31.7 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.4
Turnovers 6.9 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.9
Steals 4.7 3.2
Fouls 13.3 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU LMU
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 71.4
% of Possessions with SUU LMU
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 53.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 22.0%
Player Fouled 22.4% 19.2%
Turnover 10.0% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 4.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU LMU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 33.3%