NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU NAU
Points 77.8 72.8
Total Points   150.6
Points From 2-Pointers 45.3 45.1
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 16.0
Points From Free Throws 17.9 11.7
Shooting SUU NAU
Field Goals Made 27.5 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 60.2
Field Goal % 47.2% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.6 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 17.9 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 16.9
Free Throw % 71.3% 69.2%
Ball Control SUU NAU
Rebounds 36.0 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.2
Turnovers 9.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.0
Steals 6.6 4.9
Fouls 15.0 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU NAU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 70.8
% of Possessions with SUU NAU
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 20.6%
Player Fouled 24.5% 20.6%
Turnover 13.0% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU NAU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 26.2%