NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU PRST
Points 74.8 73.4
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 18.6
Points From Free Throws 17.5 13.7
Shooting SUU PRST
Field Goals Made 25.6 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 63.3
Field Goal % 45.3% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 17.5 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 19.8
Free Throw % 71.3% 69.4%
Ball Control SUU PRST
Rebounds 36.2 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 12.8
Turnovers 11.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.1
Steals 5.2 6.2
Fouls 15.4 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU PRST
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 75.8
% of Possessions with SUU PRST
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 21.9%
Player Fouled 25.6% 20.9%
Turnover 15.3% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU PRST
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 32.1%