NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU WEB
Points 73.5 77.9
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 18.7
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.3
Shooting SUU WEB
Field Goals Made 27.0 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 57.8
Field Goal % 49.3% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 18.1
Free Throw % 71.3% 73.7%
Ball Control SUU WEB
Rebounds 30.9 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 7.9
Turnovers 10.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.6
Steals 4.8 6.2
Fouls 15.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU WEB
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 68.8
% of Possessions with SUU WEB
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 22.8%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.0%
Turnover 15.5% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU WEB
Shot Blocked 2.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 25.3%