NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU ARIZ
Points 60.2 99.8
Total Points   160.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 62.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 18.0
Points From Free Throws 9.7 18.9
Shooting SUU ARIZ
Field Goals Made 22.1 37.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 66.9
Field Goal % 35.9% 56.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 39.1% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 41.1%
Free Throws Made 9.7 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.2 25.8
Free Throw % 73.4% 73.2%
Ball Control SUU ARIZ
Rebounds 26.7 47.2
Rebounds - Defensive 18.8 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 14.6
Turnovers 14.7 7.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 6.2
Steals 3.7 9.9
Fouls 16.0 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU ARIZ
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 82.7
% of Possessions with SUU ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 57.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 16.0%
Player Fouled 17.2% 21.1%
Turnover 19.4% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 13.1% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU ARIZ
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 43.7%