NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU ARIZ
Points 58.1 91.8
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 18.4
Points From Free Throws 13.1 19.4
Shooting SUU ARIZ
Field Goals Made 19.8 33.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 62.8
Field Goal % 33.4% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 46.4
2 Point Shooting % 36.4% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 25.0
Free Throw % 73.3% 77.3%
Ball Control SUU ARIZ
Rebounds 29.6 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 12.8
Turnovers 13.0 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.3
Steals 3.2 8.8
Fouls 16.5 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU ARIZ
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 78.3
% of Possessions with SUU ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 18.9%
Player Fouled 21.4% 22.5%
Turnover 17.8% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU ARIZ
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 38.8%