NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH UAB
Points 71.5 79.7
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 19.2
Points From Free Throws 11.2 19.2
Shooting MRSH UAB
Field Goals Made 25.9 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 60.1
Field Goal % 40.1% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 42.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 11.2 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 25.8
Free Throw % 71.7% 74.3%
Ball Control MRSH UAB
Rebounds 35.6 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 11.9
Turnovers 10.2 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.1
Steals 6.5 6.4
Fouls 16.3 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH UAB
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 75.5
% of Possessions with MRSH UAB
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 20.2%
Player Fouled 17.0% 22.2%
Turnover 13.9% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH UAB
Shot Blocked 5.3% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 32.6%