NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH CCU
Points 77.8 71.8
Total Points   149.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 32.8 20.3
Points From Free Throws 12.8 13.1
Shooting MRSH CCU
Field Goals Made 27.0 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 67.9 61.1
Field Goal % 39.8% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 18.8
Free Throw % 71.7% 69.4%
Ball Control MRSH CCU
Rebounds 40.2 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 9.6
Turnovers 7.9 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 1.7
Steals 8.4 5.1
Fouls 13.9 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH CCU
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 79.1 72.3
% of Possessions with MRSH CCU
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 39.4% 22.2%
Player Fouled 17.3% 18.6%
Turnover 10.5% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH CCU
Shot Blocked 2.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 25.4%