NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH RMU
Points 75.9 71.3
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 27.7
Points From Free Throws 13.9 11.6
Shooting MRSH RMU
Field Goals Made 27.0 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 62.7
Field Goal % 43.0% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 43.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 13.9 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 16.6
Free Throw % 71.7% 69.8%
Ball Control MRSH RMU
Rebounds 38.7 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 12.2
Turnovers 9.2 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.0
Steals 6.6 4.7
Fouls 12.8 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH RMU
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 73.4
% of Possessions with MRSH RMU
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 29.9%
Player Fouled 19.7% 17.5%
Turnover 12.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH RMU
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 30.6%