NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH DUQ
Points 64.0 73.5
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 24.0
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.1
Shooting MRSH DUQ
Field Goals Made 22.7 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 58.4
Field Goal % 38.2% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 19.2
Free Throw % 71.7% 73.4%
Ball Control MRSH DUQ
Rebounds 36.1 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.7
Turnovers 11.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.3
Steals 6.4 7.5
Fouls 14.9 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH DUQ
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 69.9
% of Possessions with MRSH DUQ
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 26.3%
Player Fouled 18.9% 20.9%
Turnover 16.2% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH DUQ
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 27.6%