NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH WKU
Points 75.6 77.9
Total Points   153.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.0 21.4
Points From Free Throws 12.7 14.6
Shooting MRSH WKU
Field Goals Made 26.6 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 64.8 63.9
Field Goal % 41.1% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 12.7 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 20.1
Free Throw % 71.7% 72.7%
Ball Control MRSH WKU
Rebounds 38.2 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.8
Turnovers 11.5 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.2
Steals 6.8 7.3
Fouls 15.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH WKU
Total Possessions 77.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 75.6
% of Possessions with MRSH WKU
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 22.3%
Player Fouled 18.6% 19.6%
Turnover 14.8% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH WKU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 25.6%