NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH APP
Points 65.7 78.2
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 44.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 20.9
Points From Free Throws 8.9 12.6
Shooting MRSH APP
Field Goals Made 24.6 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 69.7 63.9
Field Goal % 35.4% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 45.3 45.1
2 Point Shooting % 38.0% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 8.9 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.5 18.2
Free Throw % 71.7% 69.5%
Ball Control MRSH APP
Rebounds 38.7 45.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.4
Turnovers 8.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.2
Steals 6.8 5.6
Fouls 13.7 10.7

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH APP
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 77.0 75.0
% of Possessions with MRSH APP
2 Point Attempt 51.7% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 21.9%
Player Fouled 14.4% 18.5%
Turnover 12.0% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH APP
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 27.6%