NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH FIU
Points 79.2 71.8
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 29.9 26.5
Points From Free Throws 12.8 11.1
Shooting MRSH FIU
Field Goals Made 28.2 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 62.6
Field Goal % 45.6% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 40.8% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 17.1
Free Throw % 71.7% 65.0%
Ball Control MRSH FIU
Rebounds 42.7 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 30.1 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.6
Turnovers 13.8 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.0
Steals 6.6 9.1
Fouls 13.8 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH FIU
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 72.9
% of Possessions with MRSH FIU
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 29.0%
Player Fouled 18.3% 18.3%
Turnover 18.4% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH FIU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 34.6% 24.1%