NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH ULL
Points 70.1 74.8
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 21.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 13.4
Shooting MRSH ULL
Field Goals Made 24.8 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 63.3
Field Goal % 41.3% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 14.3 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 18.2
Free Throw % 71.7% 73.6%
Ball Control MRSH ULL
Rebounds 38.8 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 10.9
Turnovers 12.5 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.6
Steals 6.7 7.7
Fouls 14.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH ULL
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 74.3
% of Possessions with MRSH ULL
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 24.6%
Player Fouled 19.8% 18.8%
Turnover 16.8% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH ULL
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 28.4%