NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH WRST
Points 81.6 84.8
Total Points   166.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 47.5
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 21.3
Points From Free Throws 12.1 16.0
Shooting MRSH WRST
Field Goals Made 29.8 30.9
Field Goals Attempted 65.9 61.9
Field Goal % 45.2% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 42.1%
Free Throws Made 12.1 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.2
Free Throw % 71.7% 75.6%
Ball Control MRSH WRST
Rebounds 35.7 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.7
Turnovers 10.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.8 1.6
Steals 7.3 6.1
Fouls 15.9 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH WRST
Total Possessions 76.5
Effective Scoring Chances 76.9 74.4
% of Possessions with MRSH WRST
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 19.5%
Player Fouled 16.8% 20.8%
Turnover 13.6% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH WRST
Shot Blocked 2.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 25.9%