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Marshall at Toledo
Sun Dec 8, 2019
2:00pm ET
Toledo, OH
Marshall at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 11, Total Points: 151
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MRSH | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-20-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-13-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 6-12-0 | 8-9-0 |
Marshall Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Queens | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Radford | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Utah St | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Florida Intl | +1.0 | W by 11 | +12.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Kentucky | +18.5 | L by 36 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Duquesne | +5.0 | L by 13 | -8.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Ohio | +8.0 | W by 5 | +13.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Toledo | +8.0 | L by 1 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Bluefield College | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Louisiana | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | UL Monroe | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas St | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | GA Southern | -11.5 | W by 5 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Alabama | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Old Dominion | +1.5 | L by 25 | -23.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | James Mad | +11.5 | L by 15 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Georgia St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | S Mississippi | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Old Dominion | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Coastal Car | -10.5 | W by 17 | +6.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Troy | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | App State | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Coastal Car | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | James Mad | +7.0 | L by 26 | -19.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | App State | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | GA Southern | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Georgia St | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Georgia St | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 17 | -5.0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| TOL -11.0 | Open | -12.0 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -12.5 | Low | -11.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1615 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 1388 times (85.9%).
- The team like Marshall won the game 227 times (14.1%).
- The team like Marshall did better against the spread, going 828-748-39 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2729 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 1378-1300-51 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -11.0 | -11.0 |
| Open | -13.5 | -13.5 | -12.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/08 01:55 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 12/08 01:43 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:36 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:37 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:04 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 12/08 11:04 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 12/08 10:40 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 12/08 07:43 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:35 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 12/08 01:21 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:34 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/07 10:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/07 10:24 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:45 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/07 09:33 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/07 06:14 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
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