NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH UNCW
Points 71.1 75.0
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 17.0
Points From Free Throws 13.8 19.6
Shooting MRSH UNCW
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 55.8
Field Goal % 42.7% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 13.8 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 26.8
Free Throw % 69.6% 73.1%
Ball Control MRSH UNCW
Rebounds 34.5 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.6
Turnovers 11.0 10.1
Blocked Shots 6.1 3.2
Steals 5.0 5.3
Fouls 19.4 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH UNCW
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 71.2
% of Possessions with MRSH UNCW
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 19.8%
Player Fouled 23.1% 27.4%
Turnover 15.5% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH UNCW
Shot Blocked 5.9% 10.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 30.7%