NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH AKR
Points 67.3 72.9
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 23.8
Points From Free Throws 10.8 14.4
Shooting MRSH AKR
Field Goals Made 24.7 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 57.8
Field Goal % 39.9% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 10.8 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 19.8
Free Throw % 71.7% 72.9%
Ball Control MRSH AKR
Rebounds 36.2 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.0
Turnovers 9.5 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.1
Steals 5.9 4.9
Fouls 15.6 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH AKR
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 69.8
% of Possessions with MRSH AKR
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 28.7%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.9%
Turnover 13.3% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH AKR
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 25.4%