NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC LBSU
Points 66.7 85.2
Total Points   151.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 48.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 17.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 19.5
Shooting PAC LBSU
Field Goals Made 22.4 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 60.6
Field Goal % 40.1% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 13.7 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 27.2
Free Throw % 65.1% 71.5%
Ball Control PAC LBSU
Rebounds 27.5 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 14.0
Turnovers 11.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.7
Steals 5.0 6.7
Fouls 17.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC LBSU
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 77.9
% of Possessions with PAC LBSU
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 21.0%
Player Fouled 22.8% 23.7%
Turnover 15.9% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC LBSU
Shot Blocked 7.8% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 16.4% 39.5%