NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIZZ TAM
Points 73.0 83.4
Total Points   156.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 24.5
Points From Free Throws 14.1 23.9
Shooting MIZZ TAM
Field Goals Made 25.3 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 63.1
Field Goal % 44.9% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 29.4 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 14.1 23.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 33.5
Free Throw % 78.9% 71.3%
Ball Control MIZZ TAM
Rebounds 29.2 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 21.0
Turnovers 10.9 8.0
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.1
Steals 4.3 6.3
Fouls 19.1 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +1.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIZZ TAM
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 83.5
% of Possessions with MIZZ TAM
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 27.4%
Player Fouled 22.6% 27.1%
Turnover 15.5% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIZZ TAM
Shot Blocked 5.0% 9.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 49.2%