NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU TAM
Points 77.6 80.1
Total Points   157.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 23.3
Points From Free Throws 14.9 18.8
Shooting LSU TAM
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 65.4
Field Goal % 47.0% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 14.9 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 26.4
Free Throw % 73.3% 71.3%
Ball Control LSU TAM
Rebounds 34.2 41.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 17.0
Turnovers 11.9 7.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.9
Steals 4.5 7.8
Fouls 16.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU TAM
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 81.4
% of Possessions with LSU TAM
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 28.7%
Player Fouled 20.8% 22.3%
Turnover 16.4% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU TAM
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 39.9%