NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AUB TAM
Points 83.6 71.8
Total Points   155.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 16.7
Points From Free Throws 16.4 23.9
Shooting AUB TAM
Field Goals Made 29.0 21.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 64.3
Field Goal % 49.9% 32.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 43.7
2 Point Shooting % 61.6% 35.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 27.1%
Free Throws Made 16.4 23.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 33.6
Free Throw % 74.8% 71.3%
Ball Control AUB TAM
Rebounds 37.2 42.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 19.6
Turnovers 9.9 8.0
Blocked Shots 7.3 2.9
Steals 4.2 6.4
Fouls 18.5 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AUB TAM
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 83.9
% of Possessions with AUB TAM
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 21.7%
Player Fouled 23.5% 25.6%
Turnover 13.7% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken AUB TAM
Shot Blocked 4.7% 12.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 41.0%