NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM GRC
Points 57.7 76.9
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 13.2 21.2
Points From Free Throws 14.1 21.5
Shooting GRAM GRC
Field Goals Made 19.6 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 54.7
Field Goal % 36.0% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 36.5% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 12.9 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 14.1 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 28.2
Free Throw % 70.7% 76.0%
Ball Control GRAM GRC
Rebounds 30.1 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 13.4
Turnovers 13.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 5.1
Steals 5.8 7.4
Fouls 16.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM GRC
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 72.6
% of Possessions with GRAM GRC
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 15.8% 25.6%
Player Fouled 20.2% 24.1%
Turnover 18.5% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM GRC
Shot Blocked 9.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 39.2%