NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM MORG
Points 73.4 66.6
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 10.7
Points From Free Throws 17.7 14.1
Shooting GRAM MORG
Field Goals Made 25.3 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 58.0
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 3.6
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 14.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 25.5%
Free Throws Made 17.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 18.7
Free Throw % 70.7% 75.2%
Ball Control GRAM MORG
Rebounds 35.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.8
Turnovers 11.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.0
Steals 7.5 5.4
Fouls 13.1 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Morgan St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM MORG
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 69.7
% of Possessions with GRAM MORG
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 16.1% 16.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 18.4%
Turnover 16.1% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM MORG
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 30.3%