NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM DUKE
Points 72.7 73.0
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 25.9
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.0
Shooting CLEM DUKE
Field Goals Made 26.7 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 58.5
Field Goal % 46.8% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 20.9
Free Throw % 77.8% 71.6%
Ball Control CLEM DUKE
Rebounds 34.6 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 9.8
Turnovers 8.9 7.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.4
Steals 3.6 5.5
Fouls 13.7 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM DUKE
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 70.5
% of Possessions with CLEM DUKE
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 30.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 20.1%
Turnover 13.1% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM DUKE
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 26.6%