NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS DEL
Points 66.8 63.1
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 17.7
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.4
Shooting TOWS DEL
Field Goals Made 24.6 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 53.4
Field Goal % 41.9% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 17.6
Free Throw % 66.3% 70.4%
Ball Control TOWS DEL
Rebounds 39.7 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 7.2
Turnovers 9.2 10.1
Blocked Shots 5.4 2.8
Steals 6.0 4.6
Fouls 14.9 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS DEL
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 63.1
% of Possessions with TOWS DEL
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 24.5%
Player Fouled 18.6% 22.5%
Turnover 13.9% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS DEL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 36.1% 21.5%