NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN CREI
Points 68.1 82.3
Total Points   150.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 31.2
Points From Free Throws 7.4 10.8
Shooting PRIN CREI
Field Goals Made 26.6 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 64.5 57.1
Field Goal % 41.2% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 68.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 7.4 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 9.4 13.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 80.8%
Ball Control PRIN CREI
Rebounds 28.0 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 6.3
Turnovers 5.1 9.0
Blocked Shots 0.9 3.1
Steals 4.8 2.5
Fouls 12.3 10.5

Playing Style Advantage: Princeton

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN CREI
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 65.6
% of Possessions with PRIN CREI
2 Point Attempt 54.7% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 36.9%
Player Fouled 15.3% 18.0%
Turnover 7.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 3.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN CREI
Shot Blocked 5.4% 1.4%
Offensive Rebound 16.1% 22.3%