NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC SCU
Points 62.7 87.2
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 26.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.2
Shooting PAC SCU
Field Goals Made 20.9 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 59.4
Field Goal % 38.9% 52.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 64.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 23.2
Free Throw % 65.1% 69.6%
Ball Control PAC SCU
Rebounds 24.8 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.1 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 13.4
Turnovers 9.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.2
Steals 5.3 4.4
Fouls 16.4 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC SCU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 74.6
% of Possessions with PAC SCU
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 28.7%
Player Fouled 26.1% 22.9%
Turnover 13.3% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC SCU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 15.1% 41.2%