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Missouri at Miss State
Tue Jan 14, 2020
9:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Missouri at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 2.5, Total Points: 127.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIZZ | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-23-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-14-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-14-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 6-9-0 | 11-9-0 |
Missouri Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Memphis | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | SIU Edward | -18.5 | W by 18 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Jackson St | -22.5 | L by 1 | -23.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | S Car State | -24.5 | W by 23 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Loyola-MD | -19.5 | W by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Wichita St | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Kansas | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Illinois | +6.5 | L by 24 | -17.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Central Ark | -21.5 | W by 33 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kentucky | +11.5 | L by 13 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Carolina | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Alabama | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Florida | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Texas A&M | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Arkansas | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Vanderbilt | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Texas A&M | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Miss State | +7.5 | L by 24 | -16.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mississippi | +11.5 | L by 3 | +8.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Arkansas | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Florida | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Auburn | +11.5 | L by 27 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | LSU | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Georgia | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -2.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2758 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1594 times (57.8%).
- The team like Missouri won the game 1164 times (42.2%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1368-1349-41 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1779 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 882-858-39 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/14 07:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/14 06:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 06:49 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/14 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/14 05:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 04:04 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 12:49 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 12:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 11:37 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/14 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/14 10:15 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/14 09:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 09:31 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/14 08:50 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/13 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/13 06:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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