NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC GONZ
Points 59.3 96.6
Total Points   155.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 57.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 22.1
Points From Free Throws 11.7 16.8
Shooting PAC GONZ
Field Goals Made 20.7 36.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 59.9
Field Goal % 36.5% 60.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 39.2% 70.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 11.7 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 22.6
Free Throw % 65.1% 74.4%
Ball Control PAC GONZ
Rebounds 22.6 43.7
Rebounds - Defensive 16.1 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 11.2
Turnovers 10.3 7.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 4.7
Steals 4.0 6.1
Fouls 15.1 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC GONZ
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 74.0
% of Possessions with PAC GONZ
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 23.3%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.4%
Turnover 14.7% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC GONZ
Shot Blocked 7.8% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 16.7% 41.0%