NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AUB UGA
Points 84.1 66.2
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.3 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 18.7
Points From Free Throws 15.1 19.0
Shooting AUB UGA
Field Goals Made 30.4 20.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 57.8
Field Goal % 48.6% 35.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 38.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 15.1 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 26.5
Free Throw % 74.8% 71.6%
Ball Control AUB UGA
Rebounds 41.2 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 30.7 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.1
Turnovers 9.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 6.7 2.6
Steals 6.5 5.9
Fouls 17.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AUB UGA
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.0 72.8
% of Possessions with AUB UGA
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 23.5%
Player Fouled 20.0% 23.6%
Turnover 12.9% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken AUB UGA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 10.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 24.7%