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Clemson vs. Miss State
Wed Nov 25, 2020
8:00pm ET
Melbourne, FL
(Neutral Site)
Clemson vs. Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Clemson by 4.5, Total Points: 131
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CLEM | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-15-1 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-10-1 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-7-1 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 12-8-0 | 11-9-0 |
Clemson Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Winthrop | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | UAB | -6.5 | W by 1 | -5.5 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | Davidson | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Boise St | -5.5 | W by 17 | +11.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Alcorn St | -22.5 | W by 21 | -1.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Alabama | +8.0 | W by 8 | +16.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Pittsburgh | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | S Carolina | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | TX Christian | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Memphis | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Queens | -21.0 | W by 30 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Radford | -15.5 | W by 35 | +19.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | N Carolina | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | VA Tech | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Boston Col | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | GA Tech | -11.5 | L by 3 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Florida St | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Duke | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Louisville | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Virginia | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | N Carolina | +6.5 | W by 4 | +10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Syracuse | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | NC State | -8.0 | L by 1 | -9.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | GA Tech | -8.0 | W by 24 | +16.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Florida St | -10.0 | W by 11 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Notre Dame | -6.0 | L by 7 | -13.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Syracuse | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Boston Col | -7.5 | L by 21 | -28.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Baylor | +4.5 | W by 8 | +12.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| CLEM -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1376 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Clemson won the game 887 times (64.5%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 489 times (35.5%).
- The team like Clemson did better against the spread, going 683-674-19 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 17 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 10-7 (58.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/25 07:56 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 07:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 06:26 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 04:44 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 03:23 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 02:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 01:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 10:41 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 10:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 07:47 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 06:26 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:41 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/24 06:01 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/24 04:23 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 03:14 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 02:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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