NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM MSST
Points 73.1 69.0
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 22.1
Points From Free Throws 14.0 13.5
Shooting CLEM MSST
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 58.1
Field Goal % 45.7% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 14.0 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 20.6
Free Throw % 77.8% 65.5%
Ball Control CLEM MSST
Rebounds 35.0 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.9
Turnovers 10.0 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.1
Steals 4.6 6.6
Fouls 14.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM MSST
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 70.8
% of Possessions with CLEM MSST
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 29.8%
Player Fouled 20.6% 21.0%
Turnover 14.3% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM MSST
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 28.7%