NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC GONZ
Points 59.3 96.2
Total Points   155.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.2 57.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 22.1
Points From Free Throws 11.3 16.5
Shooting PAC GONZ
Field Goals Made 20.9 36.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 59.8
Field Goal % 36.9% 60.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 39.7% 71.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 11.3 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 22.4
Free Throw % 65.1% 73.6%
Ball Control PAC GONZ
Rebounds 22.4 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 16.0 32.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 11.2
Turnovers 10.3 7.6
Blocked Shots 1.5 4.5
Steals 4.0 6.0
Fouls 15.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC GONZ
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 73.8
% of Possessions with PAC GONZ
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 23.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 21.4%
Turnover 14.7% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC GONZ
Shot Blocked 7.6% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 16.6% 41.2%