NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU UGA
Points 77.9 75.3
Total Points   153.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 26.3
Points From Free Throws 13.7 15.1
Shooting LSU UGA
Field Goals Made 27.9 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 59.2
Field Goal % 45.8% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 13.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 21.1
Free Throw % 73.3% 71.6%
Ball Control LSU UGA
Rebounds 37.8 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.8
Turnovers 11.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.5
Steals 6.9 7.2
Fouls 15.2 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU UGA
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 71.8
% of Possessions with LSU UGA
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 30.9%
Player Fouled 17.7% 20.6%
Turnover 15.5% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU UGA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 24.0%