NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO AAMU
Points 70.0 65.5
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 10.7
Points From Free Throws 17.9 20.6
Shooting TXSO AAMU
Field Goals Made 22.5 20.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 51.8
Field Goal % 38.7% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 3.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 13.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 26.3%
Free Throws Made 17.9 20.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 28.4
Free Throw % 73.6% 72.3%
Ball Control TXSO AAMU
Rebounds 37.1 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 10.7
Turnovers 12.0 14.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.3
Steals 8.3 6.1
Fouls 18.5 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO AAMU
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 69.7
% of Possessions with TXSO AAMU
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 15.9%
Player Fouled 23.7% 25.2%
Turnover 16.4% 19.5%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO AAMU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 30.2%